See Methodology for details. Trump has grown weary of the whole mess, and has made a couple misstatements which the media has used to damage his image. Getty Meanwhile in one Premise poll, Trump led the president 45 to 44. An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll's quality, sample size and recency COVID-19 focus: In this study, each story was assessed for the extent to which COVID-19 was mentioned as part of the story. Everyone who completed the survey is a member of the Centers American Trends Panel (ATP), an online survey panel that is recruited through national, random sampling of residential addresses. At the same time, Trumps vote share among White women without a college degree grew slightly between the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. Trump handled the death of George Floyd poorly in most voters' minds Biden is the "lesser of two evils" Trump's honesty appears challenged Trump "runs his mouth" too much (but he gets the job done) Trump looked immature by refusing to wear a mask for so long Trump's cabinet appears dishonest. The economy and health care were at the top, each accounting for about 20% of total coverage. All rights reserved. Among the other most common types of sources were groups focused on policy issues (such as the ACLU and Susan B. Anthony List) and/or experts (such as academics), which were cited in 32% of stories, Democratic members of Congress (27%), Republican members (23%) and other journalists or media organizations (20%). A majority of stories for all three outlets groups had at least some reference to the coronavirus. The surveys are weighted to be representative of the U.S. adult population by gender, race, ethnicity, partisan affiliation, education, turnout and vote choice in the three elections, and many other characteristics. Unaccompanied children are exempt from Title 42, so some parents make the difficult choice to send their kids across the border alone, even when that means indefinite time apart. But the topics that outlets gave the most attention to differed based on the ideological makeup of their audience (see box). See Appendix A for more about how these groups were created and for the breakdown of all of the outlets in this study and their audience classification. The problem for Biden is that sooner or later he does have to go out and campaign, and A lot of the voters who give Biden their support right now do so softly and without commitment; Trump can win them to his side in some cases, or convince them to just stay home. Again, however, Americans who get their news from sources with right-leaning audiences are more likely than others to say that the overall coverage theyve seen of the Biden administration has been unfair and inaccurate. News coverage of President Joe Bidens early days in office was modestly more negative than positive, and most of the stories were centered around his ideology and policy agenda rather than his character and leadership a contrast with coverage of former President Donald Trump at the start of his administration, according to a new Pew Research Center study that examines media coverage of the new administration. Some nuances emerge, though, within peoples media diets. To be sure, Hispanic voters are not a monolith; there is substantial diversity within the Hispanic electorate. Nonvoters are citizens who were not found to have a record of voting in any of the voter files or told us they did not vote. Voters like Trumps strong stance against China in the trade war Voters leaning to Biden said Trump could win them back if he were to show empathy, stop tweeting, and act like a president. All members of the American Trends Panel who took the 2020 post-election survey whether they voted or not were asked which candidate they preferred in the race for president. Black Americans made up 11% of voters, but a slightly larger share (14%) of nonvoting citizens, and Hispanic adults were 10% of voters but 20% of nonvoting citizens. Among the 5% of Democrats who voted third-party in 2016 and voted in 2020, just 8% supported Trump in 2020 while 85% voted for Biden. We surveyed 11,818 U.S. adults online in November 2020, 10,640 adults in November 2018 and 4,183 adults in November and December 2016. Voters who were unaffiliated with any religious tradition (atheists, agnostics and those who describe themselves as nothing in particular) made up 35% of Biden voters but just 14% of Trump voters in 2020. A Biden family member (not in the administration), Donald Trump, his family or former administration, A journalist (other than the reporter or anchor of the story) or news organization. Most notably, both administrations have done devastating harm to millions of forcibly displaced people, who came here looking for safety and opportunity only to become victims of a system that has left them stranded and vulnerable. Comparing early news coverage of Biden with that of past administrations among a smaller mix of outlets, 4. In 2016, White, non-college women supported Trump by a margin of 56% to 33%. 1. Wizbang is a registered service mark. About Pew Research Center Pew Research Center is a nonpartisan fact tank that informs the public about the issues, attitudes and trends shaping the world. Pew Research Center has studied news coverage of the start of each new administration since 1993, when Bill Clinton began his presidency. One of the most pivotal groups in the 2016 election was White voters without a four-year college degree, who were critical to Trumps electoral college victory that year (nationally, he won them by a wide 36-point margin in 2016, 64% to 28%). The Trump administration invoked Title 42 ostensibly as a public health measure during the early days of the Covid-19 pandemic and used it to quickly expel hundreds of thousands of people including nearly 16,000 unaccompanied children. Voters in 2020 sorted along religious lines in ways consistent with recent elections. Younger adults continue to make up a larger share of Democratic voters compared with Republican voters. Before I start, I will mention that Joe Biden has his own Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats. This years analysis finds that coverage of the Biden administration in this smaller sample of news outlets was more likely to carry neither a positive nor a negative assessment compared with the first 60 days of the Trump, Obama, Bush and Clinton administrations. Overall, third-party 2016 voters who turned out in 2020 voted 53%-36% for Biden over Trump, with 10% opting for a third-party candidate. Across the 25 news outlets studied, five broad topics accounted for two-thirds (67%) of all the coverage related to the Biden administration. These differences are roughly consistent with the share of White voters in each partys coalition in 2016. College graduates made up 39% of all voters in 2020 (about the same as in 2016) but only 17% of nonvoters. While Biden took a 59% majority of the Hispanic vote, Trump (with 38%) gained significantly over the level of support Republican candidates for the House received in 2018 (25%). For more details, see the methodology. And now, new policies are being admonished by advocates and even some serving Democrats for seemingly plagiarizing Trumps very own playbook, without meaningful input from Congress or organizations on the ground. The community profiles of Trump and Biden voters are similar in some fundamental ways to the previous two elections but more voters who cast ballots for Biden in 2020 say they live in a suburban area compared with Clintons 2016 voters. The analysis of media content is based on a selection of media coverage collected from Jan. 21 to March 21, 2021. But those numbers varied widely by types of media outlets. Four of the same subjects were among the top five most covered topics in the first months of both the Trump administration in 2017 and the Biden administration in 2021: health care, presidential appointees, immigration and political skills. That gap narrowed to a 17-point margin for Trump in 2020 (57% to 40%). To work them into my analysis of Trumps situation, Bidens strengths and opportunities fall into Trumps threats, while Bidens weaknesses and threats fall into Trumps opportunities. One somewhat unusual aspect of the 2016 election was the relatively high share of voters (nearly 6%) who voted for one of the third-party candidates (mostly the Libertarian and Green Party nominees), a fact many observers attributed to the relative unpopularity of both major party candidates. The economy and immigration are the topics with the highest shares saying they are not getting enough attention (44% and 43%, respectively). Zero,". These topics and storylines were in turn grouped into three broad topic categories, in addition to an other category: Frame:When reporting a story about a specific topic, there are various frames that journalists can use to orient the narrative. Trump beats Biden, Harris in 2024 match-ups: poll. Soon, Bidens top political operatives started pushing him to adopt a more hardline approach, while some of his immigration experts jumped ship, unable to stomach enforcing some of the same Trump-era practices they loathed. Bidens policy and agenda framed the majority of coverage overall (65%), including 68% of the stories from outlets with mixed audiences and 65% of stories from outlets with left-leaning audiences. Americans sense of the early coverage about the Biden administration tends to be more positive than the tone of the content that was studied. At the other end of the generational spectrum, members of the Silent and Greatest generations (born 1945 and earlier) fell from 16% of all voters in 2016 to just 8% in 2020, but their turnout rates remained among the highest of all generations. For the survey analysis, we surveyed 12,045 U.S. adults from March 8 to 14, 2021. At the same time, the outlets with right-leaning audiences were much more likely to cite other journalists and media outlets (35% of stories, versus 17% of stories from outlets with left-leaning audiences and 15% in mixed-audience outlets). Trump's indictment in Manhattan for paying hush money to a porn star yanked the spotlight off of DeSantis. Rich Thau, the project coordinator, has released a lot of interesting comments by voters on these panels, although he admits his sample size is too small to represent a poll in its own right. For our analysis of Americans views of news coverage, we group respondents by their news media diet. A majority of Biden voters said they voted absentee or by mail in the 2020 election (58%). Overall, 32% of stories about the Biden administration had a negative assessment, while 23% had a positive one and 45% were neither positive nor negative. Read more about the ATPs methodology. For our analysis of the content published by news organizations in the early days of the Biden administration, we group news organizations by the political party and ideology of their audiences. Honduras to switch ties from Taiwan to China, says president, Honduran environmental defenders shot dead in broad daylight, Honduras declares war against gangs and for control of popular narrative, Best of 2022: The amazing true(ish) story of the Honduran Maradona podcast, Central America sees economic boon as migrants flow through on way to US, Were losing hope: Honduras anger as first female president fails to fulfil womens rights pledge, Theamazing true(ish) story of the Honduran Maradona, Sell your organs to raise the ransom: the Hondurans risking kidnap and death to reach the US. Both Trump and Biden were able to bring new voters into the political process in 2020. Trump stands out, while Bidens never done anything to stand out A majority of absentee voters said they had previously voted this way before the 2020 election (56%). The survey also asked Americans which of these five issues is getting the most attention from their main news sources (rather than the news media overall). As some states looked to adapt to challenges in administering elections amid the COVID-19 pandemic, large numbers of voters were offered expanded access to absentee and vote-by-mail options in the 2020 election. One difference to note in the Trump-Biden comparison is that the 2017 study covered the first 100 days of the administration, while this years study covers only the first 60 days. Within a news story, the statements from the sources cited as well as the reporters own language determine the overall assessment of the Biden administration. Tone of the whole mess, and has made a couple misstatements which the media used... Surveyed 11,818 U.S. adults online in November 2020, 10,640 adults in November December! # x27 ; s indictment in Manhattan for paying hush money to a porn star the! 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swot analysis of trump vs biden